Paper counts and fitted trends

Group papers by

arXiv papers are grouped by first-version submission period. We use a seasonal exponential fit to predict the trend: .

All arXiv

September 2026: 40,363 actual papers, 25,382 forecast, 1.59x expected.

Mathematics

September 2026: 8,167 actual papers, 3,639 forecast, 2.24x expected.

Computer science

September 2026: 17,747 actual papers, 13,166 forecast, 1.35x expected.

Physics

September 2026: 10,381 actual papers, 7,211 forecast, 1.44x expected.

Statistics

September 2026: 881 actual papers, 540 forecast, 1.63x expected.

Electrical engineering and systems science

September 2026: 1,391 actual papers, 1,429 forecast, 0.97x expected.

Biology

Source: bioRxiv

September 2026: 5,049 actual papers, 5,800 forecast, 0.87x expected.

Medicine and health

Source: medRxiv

September 2026: 1,608 actual papers, 1,312 forecast, 1.23x expected.

Economics

September 2026: 267 actual papers, 233 forecast, 1.15x expected.

Quantitative finance

September 2026: 124 actual papers, 110 forecast, 1.13x expected.

Quantitative biology

September 2026: 253 actual papers, 259 forecast, 0.98x expected.